How does this market resolve?

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How does Lionel Messi's final World Cup end (Argentina)?

Predict before kickoff · settles after the tournament

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This market needs an opposing side. Until both sides have stakes, winners are simply refunded — your odds will firm up as it fills.

Amount

$USDC

Est. payout if correct$23.75

Est. profit-$1.25

Return0.95×

Implied odds0% → 100%

Parimutuel market — a 5% fee is taken from the pool. Final payout is set when the market closes, so your estimate can move as others trade.

No activity yet — the first trade shows up here in real time.

Outcomes

Argentina win the tournament (Messi plays at least one minute)

0%—

Argentina lose the Final

0%—

Argentina eliminated in the Semi-final

0%—

Argentina eliminated in the Quarter-final

Argentina eliminated in the Round of 16

0%—

Argentina eliminated in the Round of 32

0%—

Argentina eliminated in the Group Stage

0%—

Argentina fail to advance from group AND/OR Messi plays zero minutes all tournam

0%—

Pool split

Pool$0

Argentina win the tournament (Messi plays at least one minute)

0%—

Argentina lose the Final

0%—

Argentina eliminated in the Semi-final

0%—

Argentina eliminated in the Quarter-final

0%—

Argentina eliminated in the Round of 16

0%—

Argentina eliminated in the Round of 32

0%—

Argentina eliminated in the Group Stage

0%—

Argentina fail to advance from group AND/OR Messi plays zero minutes all tournam

0%—

Positions Be first

No one's backed this yet — the first position sets the price. Early backers get the longest odds before the pool fills.

Argentina win the tournament (Messi plays at least one minute) odds

24h

Rules

Resolves to the single winning choice, set by the operator from the stated source. Trading pauses for a short dispute window before payout.

Source

football-data.org (FIFA World Cup 2026 competition, /matches and /standings endpoints)

Fee

5% of pool

Payout

USDC

Odds

Parimutuel · set at close